Where these numbers come from
Each figure below carries a sourcing record: the document it was checked against, that document's date, and how far it can be trusted.
Across 14 jurisdictions and the federal rules, 288 figures carry a sourcing record: 162 are traced to a published document, 117 are modelling assumptions we chose and disclose, and 9 are left unknown because nobody publishes them.
Marked “rule”
The figure follows a rule in the tables: land transfer tax brackets, CMHC premium bands, the GDS and TDS limits, the stress-test floor and buffer, and the minimum down payment. Exact given the table — and how well the table itself is sourced is what the inventory below says.
Marked “estimate”
The figure is a local or household estimate: benchmark prices, professional fees, the property tax rate, insurance, utilities, and every pre-filled default on this site.
What the confidence marks mean
- Confirmed
- Read off the publisher's own document, at the date shown.
- Probable
- Read off a source we trust, but not off the publisher's primary document.
- Weak
- Derived or inferred rather than read. It may be off, and the note says how.
- Assumption
- Nobody publishes this, so we chose a default and say so. It is our figure, not a fact.
- Not published
- Nobody publishes it and we will not invent one, so the figure is left empty and the page asks you for it instead.
For Winnipeg
26 of 38 figures traced to a published source
The lending rules, the tax accounts and the planning returns every page uses, wherever you are buying.
- ConfirmedCMHC, Mortgage Loan Insurance: Premium Information for Homeowner and Small Rental Loansas of 2026-08-24
- ConfirmedCMHC Home Start — eligibility requirementsas of 2026-08-24
- ConfirmedCMHC, Calculating GDS / TDSas of 2026-08-24
- ConfirmedOSFI, Minimum qualifying rate for uninsured mortgages (Guideline B-20)as of 2026-01-29
- ConfirmedBank of Canada, Valet API, series V80691311 (Prime rate)as of 2026-08-19
- ConfirmedBank of Canada, Valet API, series BROKER_AVERAGE_5YR_VRM (Estimated variable mortgage rate)as of 2026-08-20
The one mortgage rate in this file with an official publisher, and it is an ESTIMATED AVERAGE across brokers. The two fixed rates beside it are lowest-available quotes from an aggregator. Comparing variable against fixed here therefore compares an average against a best case, which flatters fixed. The alternative — dropping to an aggregator's lowest variable (3.35% the same day) for consistency — would trade a central bank for a commercial site, so the mismatch is kept and disclosed.
- ConfirmedCRA, Participating in your FHSAsas of 2026-08-24
- ConfirmedCRA, MP, DB, RRSP, DPSP, ALDA, TFSA limits, YMPE and the YAMPE (2026 RRSP dollar limit)as of 2026
- ConfirmedDepartment of Finance Canada — the increase to two-thirds was deferred 2025-01-31 and cancelled 2025-03-21, never enactedas of 2025-03-21
- ConfirmedCRA, First-time home buyers' (FTHB) GST/HST rebate (Bill C-4)as of 2026-03-12
- ConfirmedCRA line 31270 (Home buyers' amount, $10,000 claim) x the 14% lowest federal rate for 2026as of 2026-08-24
Derived, not quoted, and the derivation is the whole point. A federal non-refundable credit is the lowest bracket rate times the claim; CRA states the lowest rate as 14% for 2026 and later, and confirms the claim is still $10,000. $10,000 x 14% = $1,400. The CRA page that says $1,500 is scoped to a home bought in 2025, when the rate was higher. Independently corroborated by Quebec's Ministere des Finances, whose bulletin on the refundable home-access credit lists the FEDERAL credit at $1,169 — exactly $1,400 x 0.835, the Quebec abatement.
- ProbableCMHC Purchase — eligibility requirementsas of 2026-08-24
25 years is CMHC's published maximum for an insured loan outside Home Start, and that much is verified. The field name claims more than the source covers: a borrower with 20%+ down needs no insurance and is not bound by it — 30-year, often 35-year, uninsured amortizations are lender discretion. Read nowhere in the codebase today; the gap is the field's scope, not its value.
- ProbableWOWA, Best Mortgage Rates Canada (lowest 5-year fixed, by insurance segment)as of 2026-08-24
Lowest 5-year fixed INSURED (down payment under 20%). No official publisher exists for Canadian 5-year fixed contract rates: the Bank of Canada's only broker series is variable-rate, and its Conventional mortgage 5-year series is a posted rate (6.09% the same day), not an offered one. Read off WOWA on 2026-08-24 and capped at medium for that reason.
Lowest 5-year fixed UNINSURABLE. No official publisher exists for Canadian 5-year fixed contract rates: the Bank of Canada's only broker series is variable-rate, and its Conventional mortgage 5-year series is a posted rate (6.09% the same day), not an offered one. Read off WOWA on 2026-08-24 and capped at medium for that reason. Lenders price three segments, not two: insured (under 20% down, 3.94%), insurable (20%+ down, home under $1M, amortization 25 years or less — 4.04%) and uninsurable (home at $1M+, or a longer amortization, or a refinance — 4.24%). defaultContractRate() has only a 20%-down switch, so it hands every 20%-down borrower the uninsurable rate; for a sub-$1M 25-year buyer that is ~20bp conservative. The 4.39% in the 2026-08-17 research report was a 2026-08-03 quote and is not reproducible today.
- ProbableCRA, How to make withdrawals from your RRSPs under the Home Buyers' Planas of 2026-08-24
CRA states this as an 89-day period, not 90 — five times on one page, and in the T1036 worksheet. 90 is the industry's rounding, and it is what this field holds. It is not corrected to 89 here because Metadata.rrspHbp.description hardcodes "wait 90 days" in both locale files, and a value/copy split would be worse than a consistent rounding. Correct both together. CRA's rule is also narrower than the UI's phrasing: it restricts the DEDUCTIBILITY of contributions made in the window, rather than imposing a holding period on the funds.
- ProbableCRA, How to repay the amounts withdrawn from your RRSPs under the Home Buyers' Planas of 2026-08-24
Correct for a withdrawal made today, and only for that. CRA defers the 15-year repayment period by a further three years for a FIRST withdrawal made between 2022-01-01 and 2025-12-31, making the grace 5 years for that cohort — a window that closed eight months ago, so many buyers on this page are in it. The value cannot honestly be a constant; it is a function of the withdrawal year. Deferred to the RRSP-HBP milestone, which is the only screen that consumes it.
- AssumptionFP Canada / Institute of Financial Planning, 2026 Projection Assumption Guidelines (April 2026)
A forward-looking house price growth assumption, not a forecast anyone is accountable for. The value is taken from FP Canada's 2026 Projection Assumption Guidelines, which is the Canadian standard for long-term projections — but a projection assumption is still an assumption, so it is disclosed as one rather than presented as a rate that will happen.
A forward-looking return assumption. No authority publishes one for a portfolio label, and past returns are not a source for a future rate; the three tiers exist so the reader can see how much the answer depends on it. FP Canada's 2026 Guidelines publish asset classes, not portfolios: short-term 2.4%, fixed income 3.2%, Canadian equities 6.3%, and require fees to be subtracted from all of them.
A modelling return on savings held before closing, and on current evidence too high: 3.5% is above FP Canada's own 2026 fixed-income assumption of 3.2%, and well above what a high-interest savings account pays with the overnight rate at 2.25%. It makes saving longer look better than it is, which biases the Down Payment and Rent vs Buy answers. Choosing a better default is a product decision, not a sourcing one.
- AssumptionNo published source
Zero appreciation, offered deliberately as the assumption-free case rather than as a forecast.
- AssumptionNo published source
There is no federal heating allowance to be out of date with. CMHC's own GDS/TDS guidance tells the underwriter to ask the borrower and use actual heat cost records, and where none exist, to estimate from property size, location and heating system. $150/month is a lender convention (commonly $100-$175) standing in for that estimate — and a figure that is right in Vancouver is badly wrong in Winnipeg.
- AssumptionNo published source
No regulator publishes a standard selling cost; real estate commissions are negotiable by law and the structure varies by province (Quebec brokerage 4-5%; BC tiered at 7% of the first $100k then 2.5%). 5% all-in covers commission plus legal and discharge costs.
- AssumptionNo published source
The 1%-of-value-per-year rule of thumb is widely repeated but is not a published federal standard. Lenders and insurers use 1-3%, so this is the conservative end of a range, not a rate.
- AssumptionNo published source
A default, no longer read by any screen: the contract rate derives from dpPct against rates.insured / rates.uninsured. Kept so the field is not silently authoritative. It sits between the best insured and best uninsured 5-year fixed, so it models a broker-shopped borrower rather than a branch customer.
- AssumptionNo published source
Every bracket and combined rate here is an unverified prototype carry-over. Out of scope for the 2026-08-24 pass, which covered federal parameters only; the tables need their own per-jurisdiction sourcing against CRA and each provincial finance authority before marginalRate() is ported. Recorded as an assumption rather than `none` because the field holds a value; the gap is tracked on #3.
4 of 4 figures traced to a published source
What the province and the city charge to move the title and register the mortgage, plus any tax on the insurance premium.
Confirmed an exact match to the published sliding scale and left unchanged. KNOWN EXPIRY: Manitoba Budget 2026 announced land transfer tax legislation changes taking effect in 2027, so this table has a diarised end date.
- ConfirmedTeranet Manitoba, Land Titles Fees, item TR1 Transfer >30,000 Fee — $137.00 electronic, $144.00 paperas of 2026-01-04
130 -> 137. The record models ELECTRONIC registration, which is how a conveyance is filed in practice; paper is $144.
- ConfirmedTeranet Manitoba, Land Titles Fees, item MTGE Mortgage — $137.00 electronic, $144.00 paperas of 2026-01-04
A NEW line. Winnipeg charged no mortgage registration fee while Saskatoon and Calgary both did — an inconsistency between jurisdictions rather than a stale number, and so wrong in a systematic direction on every cross-city comparison. Flat in Manitoba, unlike Saskatchewan's stepped table and Alberta's per-value levy.
- ProbableCMHC: only Ontario, Quebec and Saskatchewan levy a provincial sales tax on mortgage default insurance premiumsas of 2026
null is correct. Manitoba eliminated its 7% RST on mortgage-default-insurance premiums in 2020 and has not reinstated it. Medium rather than high because the removal is attested consistently across industry sources but was not confirmed on a gov.mb.ca Retail Sales Tax bulletin.
2 of 2 figures traced to a published source
Refunds and credits that reduce the bill — some at closing, some only when you file.
- ConfirmedEY, Combined federal and provincial personal income tax rates — 2026, Manitoba (rates reflect budget proposals and news releases to 2026-01-15)as of 2026-01-15
Replaces a placeholder that was NON-MONOTONIC (bracket 2 sat below bracket 1, impossible for a progressive schedule) and used 2024 federal thresholds. The fall from 51.25% to 50.40% above $400,000 IS real: EY note 6 records that Manitoba's basic personal amount is clawed back on net income over $200,000 and fully eliminated at $400,000, adding ~0.85% between those points and dropping off above. Read by nothing today — marginalRate() is not yet ported — which is why this was corrected now rather than after it starts moving money.
- ConfirmedFederal Home Buyers' Amount: a $10,000 claim at the 2026 lowest federal personal rate of 14%as of 2026
1500 -> 1400. The $1,500 it replaces was the same credit at a 15% lowest rate. Corroborated independently by Quebec's finance ministry, which lists the federal credit at $1,169 for a Quebec filer = $1,400 x 0.835 after the 16.5% abatement.
2 of 2 figures traced to a published source
A published rate applies to an assessment, which is not always the sale price. Where the two differ, the rate you see is derived, and the derivation is named here.
- ConfirmedCity of Winnipeg Assessment and Taxation, 2026 Combined Mill Rates by School Division — Winnipeg School Division, 29.366 millsas of 2026
CHOICE: 29.366 = the 2026 municipal mill rate (13.372) + the residential Education Support Levy (0.000 — the ESL no longer applies to residential property) + the Winnipeg School Division rate (15.994). The eight divisions run 25.223 (Pembina Trails) to 29.530 (Seven Oaks), i.e. effective rates of 0.011350 to 0.013289, so this record's division is the second-highest of eight and a Pembina Trails buyer pays ~14% less than the model shows. Sub-jurisdictional variation is out of scope per the spec; the choice is recorded rather than modelled. Also GROSS of Manitoba's Homeowners Affordability Tax Credit, which reduces the school-tax portion for a principal residence. Caveat on the source: the PDF's page footer still reads 'Last updated: April 7, 2025' although its first table is headed 2026 MILL RATES — the footer is unmaintained, not the rates.
- ConfirmedDerived: propTax.publishedRate x propTax.assessmentRatioas of 2026
0.029366 x 0.45 = 0.0132147 against market price. The prototype's 0.0132 was, by coincidence, almost exactly this — the figure was right and its derivation was not recorded.
4 of 4 figures traced to a published source
Benchmark prices, rents and year-over-year change. Publishers differ on the metric — benchmark, median or average — and each entry says which one it is.
- ConfirmedWinnipeg Regional Real Estate Board, July 2026 release, residential-detached AVERAGE price (not an MLS® HPI benchmark)as of 2026-07
METRIC: an average. The board publishes averages and no MLS® HPI benchmark exists for Winnipeg — CREA's own board page for WRREB carries the release text and no HPI table. This is NOT the quantity Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Ottawa and Saskatoon hold (quality-constant MLS HPI benchmarks) nor the one Montreal holds (medians). An average is dragged by sales mix; a benchmark holds quality constant; a median is the middle sale. `bench` currently holds all three across the dataset, and choosing one metric for every record is a product decision, not a data fix. The prototype's $454,264 matches the July 2026 release to the dollar and is unchanged.
- ConfirmedWinnipeg Regional Real Estate Board, July 2026 release, condominium AVERAGE price (not an MLS® HPI benchmark)as of 2026-07
METRIC: an average — no MLS® HPI benchmark exists for Winnipeg, same caveat as bench.house. $290,522, +2% year over year, matching the release to the dollar and unchanged.
- ConfirmedCMHC Rental Market Survey, Winnipeg CMA, two-bedroom purpose-built apartment, reliability code aas of 2025-10
CMHC reports the average rent of the EXISTING OCCUPIED stock, which runs below asking rents for units actually turning over. October 2025 is the newest reference period CMHC publishes dollar levels for; the 2026 mid-year update is index-only.
- ProbableWinnipeg Regional Real Estate Board, July 2026 release: detached and condominium averages each +2% year over yearas of 2026-07
Precision is limited by the publisher, which reports whole percents. It is also a change in an AVERAGE, so part of any move is sales mix rather than price. Winnipeg is one of the two markets in this dataset that is rising.
0 of 7 figures traced to a published source
Lawyers, inspectors, movers and insurers price per transaction, and no authority publishes a schedule. Every figure here is a default we chose.
- AssumptionNo published source
No law society or regulator publishes a conveyancing fee schedule — firms set their own. Regional modelling default.
- AssumptionNo published source
Title insurance premiums are quoted per transaction by the insurer; no schedule is published. Regional modelling default.
- AssumptionNo published source
Home inspection is priced by the inspector and is unregulated in most provinces; no authority publishes a rate. Regional modelling default.
- AssumptionNo published source
Appraisal fees are set by the appraiser or the lender's panel; no schedule is published. Regional modelling default.
- AssumptionNo published source
No single publisher covers status, estoppel and information-certificate fees across jurisdictions. Regional modelling default.
- AssumptionNo published source
Movers price by distance, volume and season; no authority publishes a rate. Regional modelling default.
- AssumptionNo published source
Utility connection and account-opening charges are set by each supplier; no single publisher covers them. SUSPECTED TRANSCRIPTION ERROR — 5x the same field in Saskatoon (550) and Calgary (600). Left unchanged because no source supports any particular replacement. Highest-value item in this record to re-check.
Every figure that carries a sourcing record names where it came from: a dated published source, an estimate we disclose, or nothing at all where nothing is published.
Rules last verified 2026-08-24
The notes are the verification record, kept in English in the words of whoever checked the figure.